Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.259865 0.353912 0.458503 0.581278 0.719529 0.868741 1.040407
2025-07-20 0.145303 0.266806 0.420098 0.616741 0.853574 1.122676 1.445379
2025-07-27 0.103244 0.238694 0.425082 0.676988 0.991333 1.357570 1.805177
2025-08-03 0.068721 0.208074 0.418209 0.716356 1.099993 1.556267 2.122391
2025-08-10 0.038376 0.169667 0.391165 0.722251 1.161512 1.694313 2.364673
2025-08-17 0.012104 0.117873 0.332409 0.676748 1.151471 1.740950 2.494666
2025-08-24 0.000836 0.075363 0.275690 0.625186 1.126956 1.764789 2.593100
2025-08-31 NaN 0.052267 0.245363 0.607310 1.143622 1.837294 2.748235
2025-09-07 NaN 0.040062 0.232719 0.614497 1.193113 1.950503 2.952641
2025-09-14 NaN 0.027438 0.213369 0.607932 1.221543 2.035427 3.121157
2025-09-21 NaN 0.016089 0.189791 0.590808 1.232798 2.096610 3.259002
2025-09-28 NaN 0.014164 0.195033 0.624307 1.317685 2.254658 3.518747
2025-10-05 NaN 0.012904 0.203520 0.666369 1.419340 2.440317 3.820535
2025-10-12 NaN 0.011043 0.208871 0.703123 1.514190 2.618453 4.114888
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012487 0.229151 0.767980 1.650976 2.852392 4.479859
2025-10-26 NaN 0.011378 0.237292 0.809915 1.753622 3.041056 4.787777
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007194 0.227183 0.816234 1.802371 3.157479 5.003847
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001435 0.190929 0.767638 1.765747 3.157879 5.071054
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.154673 0.712461 1.715368 3.137230 5.109360
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.136910 0.693298 1.719342 3.189241 5.239801
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.131357 0.701005 1.765885 3.299776 5.446021
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.120240 0.693965 1.787868 3.375859 5.607206
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.105537 0.675592 1.790180 3.423859 5.731299